{"id":620,"date":"2023-08-09T20:38:26","date_gmt":"2023-08-09T20:38:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/?p=620"},"modified":"2023-08-09T20:39:31","modified_gmt":"2023-08-09T20:39:31","slug":"talking-football-august-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/?p=620","title":{"rendered":"Talking Football &#8211; August 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Back when the B1G was actually 10 teams &#8211; &#8220;two yards and a cloud of dust&#8221; was sometimes used to describe the offense philosophy of most coaches in the conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The forward pass might have been added in 1906, but to paraphrase a coach &#8220;three things can happen when you throw the ball, and two of them are bad&#8221; &#8211; and of course that same coach lived by the &#8220;off tackle&#8221; play (in his defense Woody Hayes believed that &#8220;off tackle&#8221; could be adjusted as needed &#8211; in the same way that Vince Lombardi described the &#8220;power sweep&#8221; as &#8220;running to daylight&#8221;)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Philosophy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;d argue that &#8220;ball control and defense&#8221; is still a sound starting point for a coaching philosophy &#8211; but it obviously won&#8217;t win video games where running and defense are after thoughts. <br><br>Remember the point of a football game is NOT &#8220;score as many points as possible.&#8221; The goal in football is to score MORE points than the other team.<br><br>Example: quick which NFL team holds the record for &#8220;points scored per game?&#8221; <br><br>If you said that the 1950 L.A. Rams scored 38.8 points per game then you are truly a football historian.<br><br>Of course if you also knew that those 1950 Rams went 9-3 in the regular season and then lost the (pre Super Bowl era) NFL Championship to the Cleveland Browns (Rams 28 &#8211; Browns 30) then you are probably a Cleveland Browns fan &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Team Game<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The point is that football is a &#8220;team game&#8221; &#8211; i.e. offense isn&#8217;t more important than defense. This idea that &#8220;defense matters just as much as offense&#8221; applies to MOST team sports.<br><br>At various points in modern sports history &#8220;genius coaches&#8221; have come up with the idea to &#8220;emphasize&#8221; offense over defense &#8211; and they tend to score a lot of points, but give up more points than they score.<br><br>To be fair &#8211; coaching philosophies like &#8220;run and gun&#8221; (basketball) and &#8220;run and shoot&#8221; in football came about as creative ways to deal with a lack of &#8220;player size.&#8221; <br><br>If you put on your &#8220;defensive coordinator&#8221; hat and imagine the offense that is hardest to defend &#8211; and you will probably come up with some version of an &#8220;option&#8221; offense (i.e. an offense where the play can change in reaction to the defense). The classic &#8220;triple option&#8221;\/wishbone offense comes to mind &#8211; which is still successfully used at various levels.<br><br>BUT all of the above goes out the window when you start talking about &#8220;professional sports&#8221; where &#8220;big and fast&#8221; players are the norm. Yes, there are still different coaching philosophies &#8211; but dealing with an organizational lack of &#8220;size and speed&#8221; goes away when you can just &#8220;draft&#8221;\/hire big and fast players<br><br>(btw: Glenn Ellison &#8211; the football coach not the economist &#8211; earned &#8220;Ohio Coach of the year&#8221; in 1961 for developing the Run N&#8217; Shoot offense at Middletown High School in Ohio &#8211; his book on the offense is available on Amazon. <br><br>As I remember the story he also advocated putting the &#8220;best 11&#8221; players on offense and trying to outscore the opponent. I don&#8217;t think he ever had an &#8220;undefeated season&#8221; but his &#8220;run n&#8217; shoot&#8221; teams were always competitive. <br><br>Ohio high school football didn&#8217;t start having &#8220;playoffs&#8221; until the 1970s &#8211; BUT I will just point out that his offensive philosophy has won a lot of &#8220;State Championships&#8221; at the High School level. At the NFL level it was kind of a &#8220;fad offense&#8221; until defensive coordinators &#8220;figured it out&#8221;)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Turnovers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The &#8220;traditional Big 10&#8221; offense implies a field position philosophy. Part of that philosophy is a practical recognition of traditional Big 10 &#8220;winters&#8221; and general &#8220;not southern California&#8221; weather patterns which account for SOME of those &#8220;traditional&#8221; low scoring games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Remember the point of football is to &#8220;score MORE points than the opponent&#8221; &#8211; we could express that as a Win (W) happens if Points Scored (PS)  minus Points given up (PGU) is greater than 0<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote\"><blockquote><p>W = (PS &#8211; PGU) &gt; 0<br><\/p><cite>the &#8220;Win&#8221; equation<\/cite><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Simple enough &#8211; the nuance comes in when we recognize that EITHER team can score on any play. This is the dreaded &#8220;turnovers&#8221; statistic.<br><br>To expand the equation &#8220;Points Scored&#8221; can be broken down to &#8220;offensive points scored&#8221; and &#8220;defensive points scored&#8221; and &#8220;Points given up&#8221; broken down to &#8220;offensive&#8221; and &#8220;defensive&#8221; (and no I didn&#8217;t forget about &#8220;special teams&#8221; &#8211; feel free to add them as their own category or combine them either offense or defense)<br><br>Then a statistic like &#8220;net points off turnovers&#8221; could be positive (if the team minimizes turnovers and\/or creates more net turnovers) or negative (the inverse)<br><br>Saying that &#8220;turnovers&#8221; can decide a game is obvious &#8211; but from a &#8220;team&#8221; point of view what matters is how they react to the turnover more than the turnover itself &#8211; which is another subject for another post.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is a cliche to say that &#8220;every play matters&#8221; and then point out that most football games are &#8220;decide&#8221; by 5 plays. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY I&#8217;m just pointing out that &#8220;field position football&#8221; revolves around the idea that the key to winning is not making &#8220;big mistakes&#8221; close to your end zone (and giving up points). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I suppose a true &#8220;field position&#8221; practitioner would try to &#8220;surprise punt&#8221; if they are inside their own 10 yard line and try to reverse the field position &#8211; but you will never see that in the NFL simply because the athletes involved all have &#8220;big play &#8211; 90 yard touchdown&#8221; potential.<br><br>ANYWAY that &#8220;elongated sphere&#8221; tends to be slippery in bad weather and bounces funny even in the best of conditions &#8211; so &#8220;ball control&#8221; (don&#8217;t turn the ball over on our side of the field) and &#8220;defense&#8221; (don&#8217;t give up big plays) remains a sound coaching philosophy starting point &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Playbooks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Imagine that &#8220;Team A&#8221; gets their hands on a copy of &#8220;Team B&#8217;s&#8221; offensive playbook &#8211; does &#8220;Team A&#8221; get a substantive advantage?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, no. The specific formations\/plays don&#8217;t matter as much as &#8220;real time general tendencies.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>IF a player has a &#8220;tell&#8221; then that is going to be useful &#8211; i.e. if a receiver only puts in his mouthpiece when it is a &#8216;passing play&#8217; and holds his mouthpiece in his hand when it is a &#8216;running play&#8217; then THAT is actionable intelligence. <br><br>Trying to recognize tendencies is the point of &#8220;film study&#8221; in the NFL. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The &#8220;old school football&#8221; idea that you can tell the other team what you are gonna do and they still won&#8217;t be able to stop it &#8211; MIGHT still work if your players are MUCH physically superior than your opponent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just having the opponents &#8220;playbook&#8221; is useless &#8211; knowing the opponents &#8220;tendencies&#8221; is priceless.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the substance of &#8220;traditional rivalry&#8221; games in any sport at any level &#8211; i.e. both teams are well acquainted with the other teams players and tendencies so we get the basis for another cliche about &#8220;throwing out the win\/loss records&#8221; because it is &#8220;rivalry week&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the pro level it tends to be EXTREMELY difficult to &#8220;blow out&#8221; the same team multiple times in the same year. Yes, statistically &#8220;good teams&#8221; are going to beat the &#8220;not as good teams&#8221; on a regular basis &#8211; but if they play two times a year every year the chances of two &#8220;easy victories&#8221; decreases &#8211; after all they are all &#8220;professional athletes&#8221; on both sides of the ball.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Divisions and Television Rights<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>When you are talking about &#8220;College football&#8221; in 2023 there are obvious divisions &#8211; the &#8220;small school nonathletic scholarships&#8221; folks are still called &#8220;Division III&#8221; (250 schools), there are 169 &#8220;Division II&#8221; schools (about 60% of DII athletes get &#8220;athletic aid&#8221;)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I will say that the athletic facilities of the &#8220;average DIII school&#8221; are probably a little nicer than the &#8220;average large high school&#8221; &#8211; and yeah, the best large high school programs might be &#8220;competitive&#8221; against the average DIII team &#8212; but DIII is still &#8220;college football&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For what it is worth &#8211; the NCAA runs the &#8220;college football&#8221; championship playoffs in DII and DIII. &#8220;Division I&#8221; football has &#8220;Champions&#8221; going back to 1869. The &#8220;National Collegiate Athletics Association&#8221; was founded in 1906 &#8211; but &#8220;Division I&#8221; football is still kind of an outlier in the overall &#8220;college sports&#8221; landscape. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>From a business point of view this &#8220;outlier&#8221; status is interesting because the NCAA does NOT control the television rights. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>until the mid 1980s the NCAA had control over which teams would appear on television. Which might sound like a &#8220;monopoly&#8221; if you are not working at the NCAA &#8211; and the Supreme Court of the United States agreed in 1984 when they ruled 7-2 in favor of the lawsuit Georgia and Oklahoma (well, the Universities in those States &#8211; but it might as well have been the general population) had brought against the NCAA challenging control of &#8220;college football on television.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(random great line from the lawsuit = &#8220;we thought that NCAA stood for &#8216;Never Compromise Anything Anytime'&#8221;)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 1984 ruling opened up the television market for individual athletic programs &#8211; but (as I remember it) conferences inherited a lot of the &#8220;television&#8221; control that the NCAA used to have &#8211; but that would obviously only apply to &#8220;conference games&#8221; and certainly didn&#8217;t preclude individual Universities from signing contracts for &#8220;non conference games&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ANYWAY in the 1980&#8217;s &#8220;regional coverage&#8221; was the rule &#8211; probably an example of the last days of NCAA television control &#8211; but you could watch college football all day if you wanted. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 1991 Notre Dame Football signed a exclusive contract with NBC for national coverage of their home games &#8211; which illustrates the history\/popularity of &#8220;Notre Dame football&#8221; as well as recognized their on the field success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 1993 ESPN started broadcasting &#8220;Thursday night college football&#8221; &#8211; which still seems to feature teams I&#8217;ve never heard of on a regular basis. It became a &#8220;weekend preview&#8221; show just as much as competitive football game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Big 10 had ceased being a 10 team league when Penn State (which along with Notre Dame had up till that point been an &#8220;independent&#8221; football program) joined in 1990. Penn State football was fully integrated into the Big 10 schedule until 1993.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The addition of Penn State to the &#8220;Big 10&#8221; seemed natural &#8211; if not inevitable just from the geography involved &#8211; i.e. Pennsylvania is in the &#8220;mid west&#8221; along with Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Iowa (out of order from memory &#8211; did I mention I live in Ohio?).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FWIW: There were (*cough*) <em>rumors<\/em> (*cough*) of Notre Dame football &#8220;flirting&#8221; with the Big 10 in the early 1980s &#8211; I honestly don&#8217;t know how close Notre Dame Football came to joining the Big 10, but that would have felt like &#8220;organic growth&#8217; as well. Notre Dame &#8220;athletics&#8221; joined the Big East (everything except football) in 1995 and then made the same deal with the ACC in 2013.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;The Big 10&#8221; remained 11 teams as a conference took a little risk by starting the &#8220;Big 10 Network&#8221; in 2006. Ok (pun alert) it may not have been a &#8220;big risk&#8221; but is also was a guaranteed success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem with running any &#8220;television network&#8221; is content. ESPN had successfully launched &#8220;ESPN classic&#8221; in 1995 &#8211; which had proved that there was a market demand for &#8220;classic sports coverage.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;ESPN Classic&#8221; shutdown in 2021 &#8211; probably in part because of the success of &#8220;conference television networks&#8221; &#8211; but that is just me guessing. I wasn&#8217;t a huge fan of &#8220;ESPN Classic&#8221; but I remember watching a rebroadcast of a &#8220;game from the 1980s&#8221;  and getting drawn into the broadcast like it was a live event (since I didn&#8217;t remember who won the game).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Next Big 10 addition was Nebraska in 2011 &#8211; again still felt like &#8220;organic growth&#8221; &#8211; but by this time the &#8220;Big 10&#8221; network was a success and my guess is that &#8220;folks in charge&#8221; started seeing the possibility of a truly &#8220;national conference&#8221; &#8211; but I&#8217;m just guessing again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Big 10 adding Rutgers and Maryland in 2014 only really makes sense if you have &#8220;coast to coast&#8221; conference aspirations. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>btw: I am not criticizing either school. I was stationed in Maryland when I was in the Army &#8211; I like Maryland &#8211; e.g. The Maryland Terrapins beat Indiana to win their National Championship in 2002. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m just pointing out that they may not be on the same &#8220;major sports&#8221; level as the other teams added to the Big 10 but their addition makes sense if you are building a &#8220;national conference.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The &#8220;Big 10 Network&#8221; was a joint venture (51% for the conference and 49% for Fox) with Fox Sports in 2006. In 2022 the conference signed a $7.5 billion deal that was described as using an &#8220;NFL approach&#8221; i.e. with multiple networks not just Fox Sports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With all of the above in mind &#8211; well, adding USC, UCLA, Washington, and Oregon in 2024 begins to look like &#8220;part of a plan.&#8221; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the &#8220;just my opinion&#8221; category &#8216;super conferences&#8217; have become easier to manage\/pull of because of modern technology. With 18 teams it really becomes a &#8220;League&#8221; with two &#8220;conferences&#8221; &#8211; which is a time tested formula for pro-sports in the U.S. &#8211; I&#8217;m not in the &#8220;predictions&#8221; game so I&#8217;ll wait and see how they implement the 18 team &#8220;B1G&#8221; conference &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Back when the B1G was actually 10 teams &#8211; &#8220;two yards and a cloud of dust&#8221; was sometimes used to describe the offense philosophy of most coaches in the conference. The forward pass might have been added in 1906, but to paraphrase a coach &#8220;three things can happen when you throw the ball, and two [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-business","category-history","category-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=620"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":627,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620\/revisions\/627"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=620"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=620"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.iterudio.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}